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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+3.22vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+5.00vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.50+2.36vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+0.86vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.58vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.62+2.41vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+0.73vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.06+2.13vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.80-1.28vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-1.25vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.50vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.70-0.47vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.25-3.11vs Predicted
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14Boston University4.07-7.20vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.36Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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4.86Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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7.73Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.13Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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7.72Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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9.89Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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6.8Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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12.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 18.1% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.4% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 10.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Ryan White | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 22.3% |
| D.J. Hatch | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 8.7% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Michael Reney | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.