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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University0.85+2.21vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.46+1.96vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.93+0.10vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.46-0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.16+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-1.31+0.80vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.21-1.76vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.07-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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3.96Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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3.98Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
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5.24University of British Columbia-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.55University of British Columbia0.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Reynolds | 20.8% | 22.0% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Marijke Jorna | 14.0% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 3.2% |
| Hayden Potter | 23.8% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Max Van Dam | 14.7% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 21.2% | 11.6% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 55.6% |
| Jenny Dinwoodie | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 20.7% | 15.9% |
| Aidan Chiu | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.