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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.93+2.02vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.46+2.00vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.46+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia-0.21+1.18vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.85-1.74vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.07-1.34vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.16-1.87vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-1.31-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of Washington0.930.3%1st Place
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4.0Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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3.94Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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5.18University of British Columbia-0.210.1%1st Place
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3.26Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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4.66University of British Columbia0.070.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 26.3% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Max Van Dam | 13.8% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 3.5% |
| Marijke Jorna | 14.0% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Jenny Dinwoodie | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 21.9% | 13.5% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 19.3% | 22.5% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Chiu | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 9.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 14.1% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.