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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.93+2.03vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.46+1.98vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.85+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.07+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.16-0.90vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.46-3.07vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.21-2.78vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound-1.31-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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3.98Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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3.25Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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4.69University of British Columbia0.070.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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3.93Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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5.22University of British Columbia-0.210.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 24.2% | 23.4% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Marijke Jorna | 13.8% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 22.1% | 17.8% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Chiu | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 8.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 12.2% |
| Max Van Dam | 14.3% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 3.8% |
| Jenny Dinwoodie | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 21.0% | 15.0% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 18.3% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.