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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.93+2.51vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.85+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.07+2.55vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.38+2.50vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.46-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.38+0.44vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.46-2.47vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.16-2.10vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-0.21-2.98vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-1.31-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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3.75Oregon State University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.55University of British Columbia0.070.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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4.54Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Victoria-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.53Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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6.02University of British Columbia-0.210.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 23.2% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 19.4% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Chiu | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 5.2% |
| Charlotte Clark | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 12.5% |
| Max Van Dam | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Oliver Barry | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 18.8% | 12.5% |
| Marijke Jorna | 11.0% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
| Jenny Dinwoodie | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 8.6% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.