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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+0.73vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.01+1.19vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.31+1.34vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.41-0.42vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.03-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73University of Washington1.530.5%1st Place
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3.19Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.34Western Washington University-1.310.0%1st Place
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3.58University of Victoria-0.410.1%1st Place
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2.16Western Washington University1.030.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 51.2% | 31.2% | 12.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Harrison Saliba | 8.6% | 18.1% | 31.7% | 29.0% | 12.6% |
| Karey Sharp | 2.8% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 18.7% | 63.1% |
| Colin Bishop | 6.4% | 10.6% | 23.1% | 38.6% | 21.3% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 31.0% | 34.8% | 22.9% | 9.5% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.