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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+0.63vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.01+0.83vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.03-1.02vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.31-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-2.51-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63University of Washington1.530.5%1st Place
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2.83Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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1.98Western Washington University1.030.3%1st Place
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3.9Western Washington University-1.310.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Victoria-2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 54.0% | 31.2% | 12.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Saliba | 10.2% | 20.8% | 47.3% | 19.7% | 2.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 32.5% | 41.7% | 21.0% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Karey Sharp | 2.7% | 5.1% | 14.4% | 55.1% | 22.7% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 0.6% | 1.2% | 4.4% | 18.8% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.