Race 1A

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stefano Peschiera 37.4% 26.3% 17.8% 9.0% 5.5% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Dodd 1.4% 2.1% 3.5% 4.9% 5.6% 7.3% 8.3% 13.0% 15.4% 15.6% 14.1% 8.8%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 9.6% 11.1% 13.6% 14.8% 14.1% 13.2% 10.4% 7.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Jeffrey Hayden 2.6% 3.8% 5.4% 6.5% 8.5% 11.9% 12.4% 14.0% 13.4% 12.5% 6.4% 2.6%
Sarah DeLoach 1.0% 1.8% 2.0% 2.8% 4.5% 3.8% 6.6% 9.9% 12.9% 15.9% 21.5% 17.3%
Andrew Baird 12.5% 12.5% 15.5% 15.4% 16.0% 11.3% 7.2% 6.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 21.3% 21.7% 18.1% 14.0% 10.5% 7.3% 5.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jones 1.1% 1.2% 3.0% 3.0% 3.6% 4.0% 5.5% 8.8% 11.3% 15.1% 22.3% 21.1%
Max Thompson 4.4% 6.2% 8.4% 10.1% 13.0% 13.7% 13.7% 11.8% 8.6% 7.8% 1.9% 0.4%
Conner Killham 3.5% 4.0% 4.8% 6.9% 5.6% 9.9% 12.8% 12.9% 15.9% 12.2% 8.8% 2.7%
Jack Famiglietti 4.8% 8.0% 7.3% 10.9% 11.6% 12.5% 13.7% 11.3% 8.9% 7.3% 3.1% 0.6%
Carly Pedron 0.4% 1.3% 0.6% 1.7% 1.5% 2.5% 3.1% 3.2% 7.0% 11.3% 21.0% 46.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.