Race 2A

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stefano Peschiera 36.1% 27.9% 16.2% 10.7% 5.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 9.1% 11.4% 14.1% 14.4% 15.2% 12.4% 9.9% 7.1% 4.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 20.5% 19.9% 17.8% 16.8% 11.0% 7.8% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Thompson 4.4% 5.7% 8.5% 9.6% 12.9% 13.4% 11.2% 13.1% 10.6% 6.5% 2.9% 1.2%
Jeffrey Hayden 2.8% 4.4% 6.2% 6.3% 10.8% 9.2% 11.7% 14.9% 12.8% 11.3% 6.7% 2.9%
Jack Famiglietti 5.5% 6.5% 9.9% 8.9% 11.8% 14.1% 14.3% 11.7% 9.2% 4.9% 2.6% 0.6%
Conner Killham 3.5% 4.1% 5.3% 6.1% 8.0% 10.1% 11.3% 13.1% 14.0% 12.8% 7.8% 3.9%
Andrew Baird 12.4% 14.6% 14.8% 16.1% 12.2% 10.7% 9.3% 5.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Andrew Dodd 2.2% 1.9% 2.9% 3.6% 5.4% 8.9% 9.9% 13.3% 15.5% 15.3% 14.9% 6.2%
Sarah DeLoach 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 3.6% 3.6% 4.1% 6.3% 8.5% 13.6% 16.3% 22.7% 15.7%
Alex Jones 1.6% 0.9% 1.1% 2.2% 2.4% 4.9% 6.5% 7.4% 10.9% 18.1% 20.7% 23.3%
Carly Pedron 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 2.0% 4.3% 3.5% 5.6% 12.2% 20.7% 46.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.