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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+1.30vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.08+3.13vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.72+0.68vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.69+2.07vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.92-1.69vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.20-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.75+1.03vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-1.78vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.16-1.84vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-1.50vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.02-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3College of Charleston4.090.4%1st Place
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3.33Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.13University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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4.68Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.07Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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4.31University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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9.03University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
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7.22Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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8.16Clemson University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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10.46North Carolina State University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 37.3% | 27.1% | 18.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 19.4% | 20.6% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 7.3% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Baird | 12.3% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 22.2% | 16.6% |
| Conner Killham | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Dodd | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 7.8% |
| Alex Jones | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 24.7% | 21.3% |
| Carly Pedron | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.