Race 4A

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stefano Peschiera 36.7% 26.0% 17.7% 10.5% 5.5% 1.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conner Killham 2.5% 3.5% 4.3% 8.0% 8.4% 9.9% 11.4% 13.2% 16.4% 10.5% 9.6% 2.3%
Jack Famiglietti 6.4% 7.6% 8.5% 8.8% 11.4% 12.3% 14.7% 12.6% 10.2% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7%
Jeffrey Hayden 2.5% 4.0% 4.4% 7.0% 9.3% 12.7% 12.5% 12.8% 12.2% 12.3% 7.5% 2.8%
Andrew Dodd 1.6% 3.1% 2.4% 5.1% 4.7% 8.4% 8.9% 11.3% 14.3% 16.2% 15.1% 8.9%
Andrew Baird 12.7% 11.6% 16.7% 15.5% 14.4% 12.9% 7.2% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 19.7% 23.1% 17.5% 15.0% 10.3% 6.9% 4.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 10.9% 12.2% 13.8% 12.9% 13.7% 11.5% 10.4% 8.3% 3.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Max Thompson 4.1% 5.4% 10.1% 10.2% 13.5% 12.2% 12.9% 13.0% 10.0% 6.1% 2.4% 0.1%
Carly Pedron 0.4% 0.5% 1.8% 2.0% 2.4% 2.2% 3.0% 4.7% 7.3% 11.0% 18.7% 46.0%
Sarah DeLoach 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 2.3% 3.0% 5.1% 7.9% 8.2% 10.5% 19.6% 21.1% 17.7%
Alex Jones 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 2.7% 3.4% 4.3% 4.9% 7.8% 13.0% 16.5% 22.4% 21.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.