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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.03+4.32vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.95+3.12vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.44+0.68vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+2.91vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.60+1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.06+1.58vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.07+1.07vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.02-3.58vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.05-0.16vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.42-3.66vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.08-3.07vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.89-4.11vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.01-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.3110.9%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.038.2%1st Place
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6.12Dartmouth College1.9510.0%1st Place
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4.68Stanford University2.4415.7%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.0%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University1.606.6%1st Place
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8.58University of Vermont1.064.8%1st Place
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9.07Northeastern University1.073.6%1st Place
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5.42Boston College2.0212.8%1st Place
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9.84Bowdoin College0.053.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island1.426.3%1st Place
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8.93Tufts University1.084.1%1st Place
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8.89Connecticut College0.894.5%1st Place
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9.1Boston University1.013.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sam Bruce | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
Martins Atilla | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
Oliver Hurwitz | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
Chapman Petersen | 15.7% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Luke Zylinski | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
Jack Roman | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
Ethan Burt | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% |
Joshua Dillon | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.1% |
Jack Redmond | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Benjamin Stevens | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 22.2% |
Tyler Nash | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
Oliver Keeves | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% |
Henry Scholz | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% |
Nathan Selian | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.