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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.71vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+5.43vs Predicted
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3Boston University4.07+3.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.62+4.23vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+2.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+2.55vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+4.45vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.92-3.80vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.66vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-2.18vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.78-3.27vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.70-0.64vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.25-3.32vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-1.51vs Predicted
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15Harvard University4.50-9.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.43Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.62Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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11.45Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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4.2Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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7.73Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.36Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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9.68Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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12.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
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5.36Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 15.3% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Colin Smith | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 21.9% |
| Taylor Canfield | 18.1% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Philip Crain | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Ryan White | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 20.7% |
| D.J. Hatch | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Michael Reney | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 38.7% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.