Race 5A

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 19.3% 20.1% 19.3% 16.0% 10.1% 7.7% 4.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Stefano Peschiera 37.0% 27.7% 15.5% 9.6% 6.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Baird 12.2% 12.4% 16.7% 13.1% 14.7% 12.5% 9.2% 5.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 4.5% 6.7% 8.8% 11.4% 12.9% 11.0% 13.7% 13.4% 8.7% 5.9% 2.5% 0.5%
Conner Killham 2.8% 3.7% 5.1% 6.2% 7.7% 9.0% 11.1% 14.2% 13.7% 14.3% 10.5% 1.7%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 10.1% 10.9% 11.9% 13.7% 15.1% 14.3% 9.3% 7.8% 4.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 3.4% 5.1% 5.0% 6.9% 8.5% 10.7% 10.5% 14.7% 14.2% 12.4% 7.5% 1.1%
Andrew Dodd 1.9% 3.2% 3.5% 4.6% 4.4% 6.9% 10.6% 8.0% 15.0% 20.5% 17.8% 3.6%
Max Thompson 4.7% 5.5% 8.0% 11.4% 11.3% 12.7% 13.6% 12.8% 10.9% 6.7% 2.2% 0.2%
Jack Gonzales 2.4% 3.4% 4.9% 4.3% 5.6% 7.7% 10.4% 12.6% 17.2% 16.2% 13.4% 1.9%
Alex Jones 1.4% 1.1% 1.2% 2.3% 2.3% 4.6% 5.6% 7.0% 10.2% 17.4% 36.1% 10.8%
Will Brooks 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 3.3% 9.3% 80.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.