Race 6A

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Andrew Baird 11.9% 11.6% 16.0% 14.8% 14.4% 12.7% 8.3% 5.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Stefano Peschiera 36.3% 28.8% 15.0% 9.9% 5.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 19.6% 20.7% 17.4% 15.8% 11.6% 7.5% 5.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 4.9% 6.5% 8.0% 11.9% 12.6% 11.2% 15.1% 13.6% 7.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.5%
Jeffrey Hayden 3.2% 4.3% 5.5% 6.1% 8.8% 10.2% 12.8% 12.9% 14.3% 12.4% 8.1% 1.4%
Jack Gonzales 2.4% 2.9% 4.0% 5.2% 6.8% 6.5% 9.4% 12.7% 16.1% 18.7% 13.6% 1.7%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 10.5% 11.9% 14.3% 13.1% 12.5% 12.9% 10.5% 7.3% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Andrew Dodd 1.8% 2.5% 4.4% 4.0% 4.7% 7.4% 9.0% 11.5% 14.8% 18.3% 18.1% 3.5%
Max Thompson 4.6% 5.8% 7.6% 11.4% 11.9% 13.6% 12.6% 12.1% 10.9% 7.2% 2.1% 0.2%
Conner Killham 3.1% 3.9% 6.3% 5.2% 7.5% 9.9% 10.1% 13.6% 17.0% 13.2% 9.2% 1.0%
Alex Jones 1.4% 0.9% 1.3% 2.2% 3.1% 4.3% 5.1% 7.4% 9.7% 17.1% 36.7% 10.8%
Will Brooks 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 2.6% 3.7% 8.2% 80.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.