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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.92+2.20vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Florida2.20+1.64vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.69+1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.08-0.08vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43-3.82vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.16-0.21vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.72-0.39vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina1.36-2.62vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-0.58vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-1.17-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31College of Charleston4.090.4%1st Place
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4.2University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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4.51Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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6.76Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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3.18Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.79Clemson University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.61Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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7.38University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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10.42University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.26North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 37.5% | 27.2% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 10.9% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 10.3% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Max Thompson | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 22.1% | 20.7% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Dodd | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 10.1% | 1.9% |
| Darby Reddaway | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 27.8% | 16.0% | 2.8% |
| Jack Gonzales | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 20.7% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Robert Williams | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 13.4% | 41.3% | 27.9% |
| Will Brooks | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 21.4% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.