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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+1.30vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+1.26vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+1.58vs Predicted
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4University of Florida2.20+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.08+0.89vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.16+1.89vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.36+0.36vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.72+0.59vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.92-4.94vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.69-3.29vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-1.17+0.25vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3College of Charleston4.090.4%1st Place
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3.26Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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4.58Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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5.89University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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7.89Clemson University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.36University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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8.59Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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4.06University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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6.71Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.25North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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10.4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 38.6% | 25.9% | 17.2% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 19.9% | 20.1% | 20.9% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 4.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Max Thompson | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Dodd | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 9.7% | 1.3% |
| Jack Gonzales | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Darby Reddaway | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 25.8% | 18.4% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Baird | 11.5% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Will Brooks | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 18.1% | 66.8% |
| Robert Williams | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 13.5% | 42.1% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.