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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+1.29vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+1.27vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+1.58vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.36+3.62vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.20+0.75vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.02+4.11vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.08-1.06vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.92-3.86vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69-2.28vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.16-2.06vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.72-2.02vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29College of Charleston4.090.4%1st Place
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3.27Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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4.58Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.62University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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10.11North Carolina State University0.020.0%1st Place
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5.94University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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4.14University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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6.72Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.94Clemson University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.98Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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10.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 36.2% | 29.0% | 17.1% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 19.5% | 20.2% | 21.3% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 11.0% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gonzales | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 2.8% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Carly Pedron | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 26.8% | 32.6% |
| Max Thompson | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Baird | 13.3% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Dodd | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 3.4% |
| Darby Reddaway | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 20.7% | 21.4% | 10.6% |
| Robert Williams | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 11.8% | 22.4% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.