Race 10A

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stefano Peschiera 36.3% 27.9% 18.2% 8.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 9.7% 10.8% 13.9% 15.9% 15.0% 13.1% 10.7% 5.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Baird 12.2% 14.3% 14.5% 15.4% 16.0% 11.1% 9.1% 5.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Hayden 2.4% 4.8% 4.8% 7.9% 9.5% 12.2% 14.1% 13.8% 13.5% 11.3% 4.3% 1.4%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 20.2% 21.2% 18.9% 15.7% 11.0% 6.2% 3.7% 1.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Thompson 4.8% 6.5% 8.9% 9.7% 10.6% 14.1% 14.9% 12.3% 9.4% 6.4% 2.3% 0.1%
Darby Reddaway 1.6% 2.3% 2.8% 2.4% 4.6% 5.7% 6.8% 10.1% 14.0% 20.2% 20.2% 9.3%
Jack Famiglietti 6.6% 6.3% 9.0% 12.3% 12.3% 13.7% 12.3% 13.9% 6.9% 4.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Andrew Dodd 2.5% 1.3% 2.8% 5.1% 6.2% 8.3% 11.1% 12.5% 19.4% 17.2% 10.4% 3.2%
Jack Gonzales 2.3% 2.9% 5.3% 4.5% 7.1% 9.2% 10.9% 14.4% 17.2% 14.4% 8.7% 3.1%
Carly Pedron 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 3.6% 6.3% 7.6% 14.3% 28.1% 32.6%
Robert Williams 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 0.7% 2.1% 1.9% 4.1% 5.1% 9.4% 23.8% 50.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.