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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+1.29vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+1.28vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+1.57vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.08+2.00vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.69+1.89vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.92-1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.20-1.32vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.36-0.50vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.72-0.17vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.16-2.08vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.02-0.85vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29College of Charleston4.090.4%1st Place
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3.28Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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4.57Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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6.89Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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4.2University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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7.5University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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8.83Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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7.92Clemson University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.15North Carolina State University0.020.0%1st Place
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10.7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 37.3% | 27.7% | 17.8% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 19.2% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 10.5% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Baird | 12.5% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jack Gonzales | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Darby Reddaway | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 21.7% | 18.3% | 9.1% |
| Andrew Dodd | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 4.1% |
| Carly Pedron | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 27.7% | 32.0% |
| Robert Williams | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 23.3% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.