Race 1B

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Augie Dale 40.5% 25.8% 15.5% 9.4% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Geoffrey Nelson 13.1% 17.2% 17.1% 15.2% 10.5% 10.8% 8.4% 3.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 10.8% 10.5% 14.9% 11.2% 14.0% 12.2% 10.9% 8.8% 4.0% 2.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Michael Sanandajian 9.0% 14.1% 12.2% 16.0% 12.7% 11.7% 9.6% 6.7% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.3%
Kyle Magno 5.5% 6.9% 9.5% 10.2% 11.3% 11.0% 11.8% 10.6% 9.8% 8.4% 4.5% 0.5%
Stephan VerHulst 6.1% 7.8% 8.9% 9.4% 11.0% 11.7% 12.3% 11.4% 10.6% 7.0% 3.6% 0.2%
Mackey Leventis 3.8% 4.4% 4.0% 7.1% 8.2% 8.6% 10.3% 11.2% 13.6% 15.1% 10.4% 3.3%
Megan Ploch 1.7% 3.1% 3.7% 5.0% 5.1% 5.4% 8.5% 8.5% 12.3% 18.2% 22.9% 5.6%
Mitchell Powell 3.2% 3.9% 5.4% 7.1% 9.8% 10.5% 10.4% 13.8% 13.7% 11.4% 9.5% 1.3%
Hogan O'Donnell 4.0% 4.4% 6.3% 5.8% 7.9% 8.9% 9.7% 13.1% 13.6% 14.4% 10.2% 1.7%
Carrie Marshall 2.0% 1.7% 2.0% 2.8% 4.2% 6.0% 6.4% 9.6% 11.1% 17.4% 28.5% 8.3%
Ashley Rambo 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 3.2% 2.6% 9.5% 78.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.