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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.38+3.82vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.40+2.70vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.75-0.71vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.88+1.93vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.74-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.82+0.10vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.67+1.57vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.25-0.65vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.37-1.97vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.33-2.80vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-2.44vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.23-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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4.7University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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2.29College of Charleston3.750.4%1st Place
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5.93Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.04Eckerd College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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8.57Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.35University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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7.03Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.2North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.56Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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11.41University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Armington | 9.0% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 40.5% | 24.7% | 16.0% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 13.6% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Carrie Marshall | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 27.0% | 7.2% |
| Mackey Leventis | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 2.1% |
| Mitchell Powell | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 1.1% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 1.8% |
| Megan Ploch | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 24.0% | 6.8% |
| Ashley Rambo | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 8.1% | 80.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.