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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.72vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.19vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+3.91vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.50+1.34vs Predicted
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5Boston University4.07+1.83vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+1.66vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.92-3.81vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.62-0.77vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-1.50vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.78-3.21vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-4.33vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.25-3.29vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.70-2.70vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-3.46vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.91Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.34Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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6.83Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.66Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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4.19Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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7.79Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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9.71Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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11.3Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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11.54Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 15.2% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Colin Smith | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ben Greenfield | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Canfield | 17.7% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Philip Crain | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| D.J. Hatch | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 6.9% |
| Ryan White | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 20.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 22.9% |
| Michael Reney | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 18.6% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.