Race 1A

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Enzo Menditto 19.2% 17.4% 16.0% 11.9% 10.5% 8.0% 6.7% 4.5% 2.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Gus Macaulay 8.6% 10.0% 10.0% 8.8% 9.2% 8.4% 9.1% 8.8% 8.1% 7.4% 5.5% 3.5% 2.0% 0.6%
Sidney Moyer 4.3% 4.8% 5.7% 4.8% 6.0% 6.8% 6.7% 8.3% 9.0% 10.7% 11.2% 10.1% 7.2% 4.5%
Alex Lech 9.6% 9.9% 9.4% 10.2% 8.9% 10.8% 8.4% 9.4% 7.3% 6.5% 4.7% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.8% 6.5% 7.1% 7.1% 8.6% 8.8% 9.2% 8.3% 8.4% 9.6% 8.2% 6.4% 4.4% 1.5%
Calvin Schmid 8.5% 8.1% 7.6% 10.3% 9.8% 8.9% 10.1% 9.2% 8.8% 8.0% 5.1% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4%
William Kulas 8.8% 9.4% 8.9% 9.3% 10.1% 9.2% 9.7% 8.5% 7.2% 5.9% 6.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Carter Anderson 2.4% 3.1% 3.3% 3.8% 3.5% 4.5% 5.4% 6.9% 7.0% 9.4% 11.3% 12.3% 15.9% 11.1%
Olivia Lowthian 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 2.6% 3.0% 3.3% 3.9% 4.2% 4.9% 7.2% 9.4% 13.8% 19.1% 21.9%
Connor McHugh 9.2% 8.6% 8.6% 8.9% 9.5% 9.5% 8.5% 8.2% 8.6% 7.7% 5.4% 4.5% 2.2% 0.5%
Tyler Lamm 14.6% 11.8% 12.3% 11.5% 10.2% 10.1% 8.5% 7.0% 6.1% 3.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Kiana Beachy 2.4% 4.3% 3.9% 4.7% 5.0% 4.9% 5.5% 6.8% 7.8% 8.3% 12.0% 13.3% 13.5% 7.6%
Caylin Schnoor 3.6% 2.5% 3.0% 4.0% 4.3% 4.9% 6.1% 7.0% 9.2% 8.9% 10.7% 12.7% 14.2% 8.8%
Greta Shuster 1.4% 1.4% 1.1% 2.1% 1.4% 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 4.7% 5.2% 6.7% 10.3% 16.2% 42.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.