Race 3B

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Augie Dale 40.5% 26.5% 15.8% 8.6% 4.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 8.5% 14.8% 13.7% 13.2% 14.0% 11.5% 10.4% 7.0% 3.7% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Geoffrey Nelson 16.4% 14.6% 17.2% 13.6% 13.1% 10.9% 7.0% 4.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 9.3% 12.8% 14.6% 16.2% 12.1% 10.6% 9.9% 7.4% 4.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Megan Ploch 1.6% 3.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.7% 7.5% 7.8% 10.4% 13.6% 14.5% 19.6% 9.3%
Stephan VerHulst 6.6% 7.4% 8.8% 9.5% 11.2% 14.0% 11.5% 11.0% 10.6% 6.8% 2.1% 0.5%
Mackey Leventis 4.0% 3.7% 5.3% 7.0% 8.2% 8.6% 11.1% 12.0% 14.4% 12.9% 9.5% 3.3%
Isabella Lemole 2.1% 3.3% 3.7% 4.0% 4.6% 7.1% 7.7% 9.4% 12.1% 17.8% 18.8% 9.4%
Kyle Magno 5.7% 6.8% 8.5% 11.6% 12.6% 12.7% 12.6% 11.7% 8.3% 6.1% 3.3% 0.1%
Carrie Marshall 1.7% 3.0% 2.9% 4.3% 4.6% 5.2% 7.1% 10.1% 13.4% 17.1% 20.6% 10.0%
Hogan O'Donnell 3.2% 3.4% 5.0% 7.0% 8.7% 8.0% 11.9% 12.9% 13.9% 12.8% 10.2% 3.0%
Maria Teresa Felix 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 2.2% 3.0% 3.3% 6.6% 15.0% 64.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.