Race 4B

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Augie Dale 39.6% 26.9% 17.2% 7.8% 4.4% 2.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 9.7% 13.0% 12.9% 15.4% 11.8% 11.9% 10.9% 7.8% 4.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Isabella Lemole 3.1% 2.5% 2.9% 3.5% 5.2% 5.6% 7.7% 8.7% 14.2% 16.8% 20.8% 9.0%
Stephan VerHulst 4.7% 7.9% 9.4% 11.7% 12.1% 13.1% 10.6% 10.5% 10.1% 6.9% 2.3% 0.7%
Michael Sanandajian 10.7% 11.9% 15.6% 12.3% 12.6% 12.2% 9.5% 6.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Geoffrey Nelson 14.5% 17.2% 15.8% 15.7% 12.7% 9.5% 8.2% 3.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Carrie Marshall 2.7% 2.5% 2.5% 4.2% 5.7% 5.9% 7.1% 9.6% 12.0% 17.7% 20.6% 9.5%
Megan Ploch 1.8% 3.1% 4.1% 5.2% 5.5% 6.6% 6.6% 11.8% 12.7% 16.5% 17.7% 8.4%
Mackey Leventis 3.2% 4.3% 4.3% 6.8% 8.7% 10.6% 10.8% 13.6% 13.3% 12.6% 9.4% 2.4%
Kyle Magno 6.4% 6.6% 9.1% 9.4% 12.3% 11.6% 13.6% 12.0% 8.8% 5.5% 3.7% 1.0%
Hogan O'Donnell 3.3% 3.3% 5.2% 7.4% 7.3% 9.5% 11.6% 12.2% 14.7% 12.5% 9.4% 3.6%
Maria Teresa Felix 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 1.7% 1.4% 2.0% 3.4% 3.5% 6.0% 14.0% 65.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.