Race 5B

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Augie Dale 41.1% 25.6% 16.5% 9.1% 4.1% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Geoffrey Nelson 13.2% 17.6% 17.0% 15.0% 13.1% 10.6% 6.3% 4.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 11.5% 11.2% 13.7% 13.5% 13.4% 13.0% 11.0% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 9.2% 13.3% 13.9% 14.9% 13.7% 11.8% 9.5% 7.3% 3.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Megan Ploch 1.6% 3.1% 3.1% 5.1% 5.4% 6.9% 8.5% 8.9% 13.2% 17.9% 18.7% 7.6%
Stephan VerHulst 6.2% 7.9% 9.6% 8.9% 12.2% 13.0% 10.6% 13.6% 9.7% 5.1% 3.0% 0.2%
Kyle Magno 6.7% 7.5% 7.8% 11.0% 11.3% 12.5% 12.5% 12.9% 7.7% 6.2% 3.1% 0.8%
Mitchell Powell 3.7% 4.5% 6.8% 7.6% 8.3% 9.3% 11.9% 11.1% 14.4% 12.2% 7.9% 2.3%
Hogan O'Donnell 2.9% 4.1% 4.2% 8.0% 9.7% 10.2% 12.6% 12.5% 14.5% 12.8% 6.4% 2.1%
Carrie Marshall 1.7% 2.6% 3.5% 3.6% 4.8% 6.0% 7.5% 9.6% 14.1% 17.3% 19.0% 10.3%
Maria Teresa Felix 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 3.8% 4.5% 7.4% 13.7% 63.3%
Christopher Chaplin 1.3% 2.0% 3.2% 2.5% 3.1% 3.2% 6.8% 8.7% 12.3% 16.9% 26.7% 13.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.