Race 6B

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Samuel Armington 10.4% 11.3% 13.1% 14.8% 13.7% 12.8% 9.0% 6.9% 5.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Augie Dale 39.3% 28.5% 15.3% 7.9% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Geoffrey Nelson 15.5% 16.7% 16.3% 13.6% 13.6% 11.6% 7.0% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 9.5% 12.7% 16.1% 14.0% 13.5% 12.1% 8.6% 7.4% 3.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Kyle Magno 6.1% 6.2% 9.8% 11.1% 12.6% 11.4% 11.6% 11.3% 8.6% 7.5% 2.9% 0.9%
Stephan VerHulst 6.3% 8.2% 8.2% 9.7% 11.1% 14.2% 11.9% 11.5% 10.4% 5.5% 2.5% 0.5%
Megan Ploch 2.4% 2.8% 3.6% 5.0% 5.2% 7.3% 8.9% 12.1% 13.8% 15.1% 16.0% 7.8%
Carrie Marshall 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 3.9% 5.5% 4.9% 9.2% 8.6% 11.7% 17.7% 20.1% 10.5%
Maria Teresa Felix 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 2.3% 3.8% 4.0% 10.1% 15.1% 59.8%
Mitchell Powell 3.5% 5.2% 6.1% 7.4% 7.9% 9.2% 12.6% 13.0% 14.0% 10.9% 8.1% 2.1%
Hogan O'Donnell 3.3% 3.1% 4.0% 9.3% 7.0% 9.6% 12.3% 11.7% 13.7% 13.9% 9.4% 2.7%
Christopher Chaplin 1.3% 1.9% 3.3% 2.6% 3.3% 3.4% 5.9% 10.1% 12.4% 15.9% 24.3% 15.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.