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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.75+1.20vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.74+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.40+1.62vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.88+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.25+1.88vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.82-0.24vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.38-2.64vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.74-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.23+0.42vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.33-4.34vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.76-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2College of Charleston3.750.4%1st Place
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3.78Eckerd College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.62University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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5.73Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.88University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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5.76University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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7.84Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.42University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.230.0%1st Place
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6.66North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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7.75Florida State University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 40.0% | 27.3% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 14.6% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Mackey Leventis | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 2.7% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 11.1% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Abbie Probst | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 26.8% | 6.8% |
| Ashley Rambo | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 79.7% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 2.6% |
| Isabella Lemole | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 24.9% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.