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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.75+1.28vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+3.71vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.82+3.00vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.40+0.72vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.25+2.07vs Predicted
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6University of Florida2.38-1.30vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.74-3.24vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.37-1.19vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.66+1.11vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.74-1.96vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.33-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28College of Charleston3.750.4%1st Place
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5.71Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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4.72University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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7.07University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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3.76Eckerd College2.740.2%1st Place
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6.81Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.660.0%1st Place
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8.04Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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6.8North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 38.5% | 26.0% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Mackey Leventis | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 5.5% |
| Samuel Armington | 9.5% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 15.8% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 4.6% |
| Maria Teresa Felix | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 71.0% |
| Abbie Probst | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 27.8% | 12.6% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.