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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.75+1.23vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+3.72vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.82+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.40+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.82+0.85vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina1.25+1.15vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.37-0.27vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.66+2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Florida2.38-4.35vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.74-1.94vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.33-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23College of Charleston3.750.4%1st Place
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5.72Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.9Eckerd College2.820.1%1st Place
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4.7University of South Florida2.400.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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7.15University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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6.73Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.660.0%1st Place
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4.65University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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8.06Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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6.86North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 40.5% | 25.2% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 13.8% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Magno | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| Mackey Leventis | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 5.2% |
| Mitchell Powell | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 4.0% |
| Maria Teresa Felix | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 13.6% | 69.3% |
| Samuel Armington | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Abbie Probst | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 26.5% | 13.9% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.