Race 11B

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Augie Dale 38.3% 26.8% 16.9% 9.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 6.2% 7.8% 8.0% 11.0% 12.6% 14.0% 13.3% 10.7% 10.4% 5.2% 0.8%
Samuel Armington 9.6% 11.0% 12.8% 14.1% 13.6% 13.0% 11.8% 7.2% 5.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Mackey Leventis 3.0% 4.2% 3.6% 6.2% 7.6% 8.1% 11.1% 15.2% 17.4% 17.3% 6.3%
Kyle Magno 5.9% 6.9% 9.7% 9.1% 12.3% 13.0% 12.0% 12.5% 9.3% 8.0% 1.3%
Andrew Schoene 15.3% 18.1% 18.3% 16.7% 9.7% 9.0% 6.1% 4.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 11.2% 13.8% 15.5% 13.2% 14.9% 11.0% 8.9% 6.3% 2.8% 2.0% 0.4%
Abbie Probst 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 4.9% 4.9% 8.1% 10.7% 9.8% 15.4% 27.5% 11.6%
Hogan O'Donnell 3.4% 4.2% 5.6% 7.0% 8.0% 9.3% 12.0% 15.4% 15.8% 14.0% 5.3%
Mitchell Powell 4.1% 4.4% 6.8% 7.1% 9.4% 10.5% 11.0% 14.6% 15.3% 12.7% 4.1%
Maria Teresa Felix 0.5% 0.7% 0.3% 1.0% 1.8% 1.7% 2.8% 3.8% 6.1% 11.2% 70.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.