Race 12B

saisa-fall-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Augie Dale 38.8% 26.6% 18.2% 8.6% 4.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 6.8% 7.2% 8.9% 11.1% 12.1% 12.8% 13.3% 10.9% 10.3% 5.6% 1.0%
Andrew Schoene 14.7% 17.4% 16.8% 15.2% 12.1% 11.2% 7.3% 3.2% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 9.1% 11.7% 12.0% 15.3% 13.9% 11.8% 10.9% 8.4% 3.9% 2.5% 0.5%
Abbie Probst 2.1% 2.9% 3.3% 3.6% 4.1% 7.1% 7.8% 12.9% 15.3% 26.5% 14.4%
Michael Sanandajian 10.4% 12.1% 14.5% 15.6% 12.0% 12.0% 8.5% 6.9% 5.5% 2.4% 0.1%
Kyle Magno 6.9% 7.3% 9.3% 10.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.7% 11.1% 8.6% 5.4% 1.7%
Mackey Leventis 3.3% 4.3% 5.3% 5.9% 9.9% 9.5% 10.9% 13.9% 14.8% 17.7% 4.5%
Mitchell Powell 3.5% 4.8% 5.0% 7.1% 7.8% 10.6% 10.4% 16.6% 15.8% 13.4% 5.0%
Hogan O'Donnell 3.9% 5.1% 6.0% 6.8% 9.1% 8.0% 13.7% 12.8% 17.0% 13.5% 4.1%
Maria Teresa Felix 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 3.1% 6.7% 12.8% 68.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.