Race 2A

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tyler Lamm 13.8% 13.2% 13.3% 11.1% 12.1% 9.0% 7.7% 6.3% 4.9% 4.0% 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Connor McHugh 8.0% 8.6% 8.3% 8.6% 9.7% 9.2% 9.2% 10.0% 8.0% 7.3% 6.4% 3.7% 2.3% 0.7%
Sidney Moyer 4.6% 4.8% 5.3% 6.6% 6.2% 7.3% 6.9% 7.7% 9.7% 10.2% 10.2% 9.8% 8.2% 2.6%
Calvin Schmid 7.8% 8.5% 8.6% 9.5% 9.1% 9.0% 9.8% 9.6% 9.2% 7.5% 5.5% 3.4% 1.9% 0.6%
Alex Lech 11.1% 8.9% 10.3% 10.6% 8.2% 9.8% 8.9% 10.1% 7.6% 5.9% 4.8% 2.1% 1.5% 0.2%
Enzo Menditto 19.2% 17.1% 16.4% 11.2% 10.6% 8.3% 7.0% 3.8% 3.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia Lowthian 2.3% 2.7% 2.3% 3.0% 2.8% 3.5% 3.9% 5.1% 5.8% 7.8% 10.1% 12.4% 16.2% 22.2%
Kiana Beachy 3.1% 4.0% 3.9% 3.6% 4.9% 4.4% 5.6% 6.4% 7.5% 8.8% 10.2% 13.4% 14.2% 9.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.1% 6.3% 7.3% 7.8% 8.2% 7.3% 7.7% 9.6% 9.8% 10.0% 7.0% 6.2% 5.2% 1.3%
Gus Macaulay 8.2% 8.6% 8.9% 10.5% 9.1% 10.5% 8.5% 8.8% 8.2% 7.0% 5.4% 3.5% 2.1% 0.7%
Caylin Schnoor 3.0% 3.8% 3.3% 3.4% 4.2% 5.3% 6.5% 5.8% 8.4% 8.9% 11.2% 14.2% 13.2% 8.8%
William Kulas 8.8% 9.7% 7.9% 8.6% 8.9% 10.5% 11.0% 8.0% 8.3% 6.2% 5.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.2%
Carter Anderson 2.9% 2.5% 3.1% 3.9% 4.1% 3.5% 4.7% 6.0% 6.7% 9.3% 12.5% 14.1% 15.6% 11.2%
Greta Shuster 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 3.1% 5.0% 7.8% 10.8% 17.3% 41.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.