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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+3.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+2.59vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+4.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.98+3.03vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.50+0.48vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.42vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16+5.38vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.25+1.47vs Predicted
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9Boston University4.07-2.36vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-1.37vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.70+0.16vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.78-4.10vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-5.11vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.62-6.79vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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4.59Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.54Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.03Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.48Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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7.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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12.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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6.64Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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11.16Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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7.9Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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11.52Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 19.1% | 18.6% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.9% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Colin Smith | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Michael Reney | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 18.5% | 38.8% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 5.4% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Ryan White | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 20.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Philip Crain | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.