← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.58vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.99vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.81+2.87vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.15vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.57vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University3.50+0.84vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University3.14+1.14vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University3.41-0.94vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.46vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College2.69+0.13vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.95-1.96vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.39vs Predicted
-
13University of Virginia2.12-1.14vs Predicted
-
14Columbia University1.65-0.70vs Predicted
-
15Drexel University0.58+1.12vs Predicted
-
16Villanova University1.08-0.86vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University1.96-4.33vs Predicted
-
18Hampton University3.02-9.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.58U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
4.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
5.87Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
7.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
6.84Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
8.14Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
7.06George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
9.46University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
-
10.13SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
-
9.04Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
-
10.61SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
-
11.86University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
-
13.3Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
-
16.12Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
-
15.14Villanova University1.080.0%1st Place
-
12.67Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
-
8.46Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Dane Byerly | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 3.2% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 10.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 18.8% | 49.0% |
| Harrison Paige | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 27.9% |
| Vir Menon | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 6.6% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.