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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+4.07vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+3.90vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14+5.35vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.50+2.74vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.96+7.33vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.95+2.90vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia2.12+4.98vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.41-0.88vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.57vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.69-0.96vs Predicted
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12Hampton University3.02-3.06vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.63-6.74vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-6.62vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.58+1.11vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.80-6.43vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.65-3.32vs Predicted
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18Villanova University1.08-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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5.9Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.35Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.74Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.33Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.9Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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7.12George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.27SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.04SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.94Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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16.11Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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13.68Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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14.93Villanova University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 5.6% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dane Byerly | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 17.7% | 50.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 11.4% |
| Harrison Paige | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 25.0% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.