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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+7.82vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.69+8.17vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+4.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.17vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.81+0.71vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14+2.16vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.10vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.95+0.84vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.45vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.41-2.64vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.80-1.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-5.37vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.31-1.90vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia2.12-2.28vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.58+0.97vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook2.59-5.66vs Predicted
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17Villanova University0.26-0.46vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.65-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.17SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.05Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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5.71Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.16Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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4.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.84Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.36George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.1Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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15.97Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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10.34SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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16.54Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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13.3Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.6% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.2% | 17.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Dane Byerly | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 2.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 32.6% | 34.7% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Curtis Aaron | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 22.7% | 53.7% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.