← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+6.79vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.95+7.07vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College2.69+7.06vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia2.12+7.74vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.17vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University3.41+1.12vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.17vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University3.50-1.28vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University1.96+3.39vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University3.81-4.12vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.64vs Predicted
-
12Drexel University0.58+4.06vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University3.14-5.04vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.80vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.80-5.65vs Predicted
-
16Hampton University3.02-7.39vs Predicted
-
17Columbia University1.65-3.62vs Predicted
-
18Villanova University0.26-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
9.07Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
-
10.06SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
-
11.74University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
-
4.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.2%1st Place
-
7.12George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
7.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
6.72Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
12.39Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
-
5.88Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
10.36SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
-
16.06Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
-
7.96Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
6.2U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
9.35University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
-
8.61Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
-
13.38Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
-
16.3Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Byerly | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 7.9% | 2.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 17.6% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 27.1% | 39.9% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 5.8% |
| Curtis Aaron | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 26.6% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.