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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+4.94vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+5.85vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.41+4.29vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.69+5.67vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.95+3.74vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14+2.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.20vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.80+1.34vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-4.21vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.50-2.93vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.52vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.65+1.63vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.96-0.79vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.06vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia2.12-3.13vs Predicted
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16Villanova University0.26+0.45vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.58-1.07vs Predicted
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18Hampton University3.02-9.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.29George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.67SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.74Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
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8.2Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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4.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.2%1st Place
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7.07Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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13.63Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.21Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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9.94SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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16.45Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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15.93Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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8.4Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dane Byerly | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 16.3% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 6.2% |
| Vir Menon | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 2.5% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Curtis Aaron | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 22.5% | 51.3% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 12.5% | 29.0% | 35.5% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.