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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+4.09vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+6.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+4.43vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.50+2.71vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.95+3.78vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41+1.18vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.69+2.92vs Predicted
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8Hampton University3.02+0.54vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.24vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.08vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.81-5.17vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-5.38vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia2.12-1.13vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.65-0.71vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.80-5.56vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.96-3.35vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.58-0.84vs Predicted
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18Villanova University1.08-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.39Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.71Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.78Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.18George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.92SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.54Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.24SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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5.83Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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13.29Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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12.65Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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16.16Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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14.94Villanova University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 13.4% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Dane Byerly | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.8% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 9.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Vir Menon | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 6.6% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 18.6% | 51.6% |
| Harrison Paige | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 24.6% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.