← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College2.69+9.07vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+3.03vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.50+4.05vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.55vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook2.59+5.24vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.35vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University3.14+1.16vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.95+0.85vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University3.41-1.87vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.63-3.42vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University1.96+1.60vs Predicted
-
12Columbia University1.65+1.78vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.63vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia2.12-2.27vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University3.02-6.43vs Predicted
-
16Drexel University0.58+0.13vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University3.81-11.10vs Predicted
-
18Villanova University1.08-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.07SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
-
5.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
7.05Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
10.24SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
-
7.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.16Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
8.85Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
-
7.13George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
6.58U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
12.6Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
-
13.78Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
-
9.37University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
-
11.73University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.57Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
-
16.13Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
-
5.9Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
14.91Villanova University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Comerford | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.2% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dane Byerly | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 5.3% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 13.9% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 4.6% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 49.3% |
| Sean Segerblom | 13.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Paige | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 25.2% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.