Race 3A

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elliott Mendenhall 6.6% 7.1% 6.6% 6.4% 8.1% 7.8% 8.7% 9.9% 8.5% 8.9% 8.8% 6.9% 4.5% 1.2%
Carter Anderson 2.4% 3.1% 3.5% 4.1% 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 6.2% 8.0% 8.8% 11.3% 13.0% 14.1% 10.8%
Sidney Moyer 4.2% 5.0% 4.8% 4.5% 5.7% 6.7% 8.3% 8.6% 9.2% 10.1% 9.8% 11.5% 7.4% 4.3%
Tyler Lamm 14.1% 13.1% 13.1% 12.0% 9.5% 9.8% 8.6% 6.8% 5.1% 4.1% 2.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Connor McHugh 8.1% 8.8% 8.5% 8.3% 9.2% 10.0% 9.1% 9.0% 8.6% 6.8% 5.9% 4.3% 2.7% 0.7%
Caylin Schnoor 3.8% 3.5% 3.6% 4.0% 5.1% 4.6% 5.5% 6.9% 7.8% 7.9% 11.0% 13.7% 14.1% 8.6%
Enzo Menditto 20.4% 16.9% 15.8% 12.6% 10.8% 6.7% 6.3% 4.0% 3.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
William Kulas 8.8% 10.1% 10.5% 9.1% 8.6% 8.4% 9.1% 8.6% 7.8% 7.1% 5.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5%
Calvin Schmid 9.7% 8.2% 8.3% 9.8% 9.8% 9.3% 8.8% 8.6% 8.1% 7.1% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7%
Olivia Lowthian 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 4.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.1% 8.2% 10.2% 12.7% 19.1% 19.1%
Gus Macaulay 7.6% 8.6% 9.4% 9.6% 9.2% 10.7% 8.3% 8.2% 8.3% 8.6% 5.1% 3.5% 2.1% 0.6%
Alex Lech 9.0% 9.2% 9.2% 10.3% 10.9% 9.7% 10.1% 8.4% 7.2% 6.8% 4.1% 3.1% 1.5% 0.4%
Kiana Beachy 2.7% 3.5% 3.7% 4.2% 4.2% 5.3% 5.6% 6.8% 8.6% 8.6% 12.6% 12.2% 13.0% 8.9%
Greta Shuster 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 2.1% 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 3.8% 4.6% 6.8% 9.7% 17.2% 44.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.