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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.41+5.93vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+6.03vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+2.71vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.98vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.58+9.63vs Predicted
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7Hampton University3.02+1.55vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.73vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.96+3.41vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.95-1.35vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.50-4.08vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-4.45vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.65+0.27vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.70vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.69-5.27vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.80-6.59vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia2.12-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.03Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.71Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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4.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.2%1st Place
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6.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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15.63Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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8.55Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.41Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.65Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
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6.92Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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13.27Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.3SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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9.73SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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11.8University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Friesecke | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 16.0% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 14.0% | 62.7% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Vir Menon | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 8.5% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Dane Byerly | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 25.8% | 14.7% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Colin Suvak | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.