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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+3.75vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+5.00vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+3.77vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook2.59+6.12vs Predicted
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5Hampton University3.02+3.36vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.81-0.14vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.69+2.78vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia2.12+3.58vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.58+6.60vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.55vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.65vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.65+1.20vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.53vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.59vs Predicted
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15Cornell University3.14-6.91vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.96-3.69vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.95-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.2%1st Place
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7.0George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.77Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.12SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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8.36Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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5.86Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.78SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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15.6Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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7.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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13.2Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.09Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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12.31Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.9Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 16.6% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.9% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 6.7% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 61.8% |
| Dane Byerly | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 24.5% | 16.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Vir Menon | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 8.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.