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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.61vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+4.11vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.16+3.90vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.22vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.85vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.22+0.49vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+1.81vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.89-0.42vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.72-0.74vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.43-0.30vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.12-3.98vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.81vs Predicted
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13Hampton University2.26-3.04vs Predicted
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14Villanova University1.57-1.79vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.72-0.04vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.51-0.50vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.89-5.39vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia1.57-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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6.11Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.9Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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5.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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7.58Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.26George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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9.7Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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14.81SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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9.96Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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12.21Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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14.96Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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15.5Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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11.61Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Virginia1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hill | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Balk | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 24.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Max Gillette | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 5.6% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 22.2% | 24.7% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 20.7% | 35.6% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Victor Layne | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.