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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.57vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.39vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.57+9.72vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39+1.90vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.27+4.89vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.22+0.44vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.16-0.29vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-2.18vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.89-1.41vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.72-1.50vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.89+0.47vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.12-4.85vs Predicted
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13Hampton University2.26-3.12vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.51+1.22vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.51vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia1.57-3.44vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.72-1.93vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-9.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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6.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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12.72Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.9Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.89Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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6.71Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.59Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.5George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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11.47Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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9.88Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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15.22Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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14.49SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Virginia1.570.0%1st Place
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15.07Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hill | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Max Gillette | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 6.4% |
| William Logue | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Eastman | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.9% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Charney | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Nicole Edwards | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 20.6% | 31.7% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 20.4% | 20.5% |
| Victor Layne | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 5.5% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 30.1% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.