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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+5.13vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.03vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+6.01vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89+3.54vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.37vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.72+2.29vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-0.72vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.22-1.62vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.57+3.46vs Predicted
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10Hampton University2.26+0.25vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.12-3.99vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.27-1.68vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.57-0.67vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.89-2.92vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.16-8.35vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.51-0.49vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.90-2.45vs Predicted
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18Drexel University0.72-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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7.54Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.37SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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6.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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12.46Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.25Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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7.01University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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10.32Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Virginia1.570.0%1st Place
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11.08Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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6.65Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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15.51Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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14.55SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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14.81Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 10.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Hill | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Liam McCarthy | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 5.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gerard Eastman | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Victor Layne | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Roberto Stevens | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Edwards | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 37.1% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 22.3% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 22.9% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.