Race 4A

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alex Lech 10.8% 10.1% 9.7% 9.0% 9.3% 9.8% 8.9% 8.2% 7.8% 5.9% 4.6% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4%
Calvin Schmid 8.3% 8.5% 9.8% 8.9% 8.8% 10.6% 9.5% 9.2% 8.2% 6.6% 5.4% 3.9% 1.5% 0.9%
Gus Macaulay 8.0% 9.4% 9.1% 10.3% 9.4% 8.8% 8.6% 9.3% 8.1% 6.2% 5.6% 4.2% 2.3% 0.5%
Enzo Menditto 19.7% 17.3% 15.4% 12.3% 11.2% 8.0% 5.5% 4.4% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Carter Anderson 2.9% 4.0% 4.0% 3.1% 3.5% 5.1% 5.0% 6.6% 7.3% 9.2% 11.8% 12.0% 15.0% 10.6%
Connor McHugh 8.4% 8.0% 8.1% 8.3% 9.6% 8.8% 9.4% 9.2% 8.6% 7.8% 5.6% 5.1% 2.5% 0.5%
Tyler Lamm 13.9% 14.1% 12.2% 11.5% 9.9% 8.8% 8.6% 7.6% 5.2% 3.7% 2.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.3% 6.6% 7.8% 7.7% 9.2% 8.0% 9.0% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 6.5% 3.7% 1.8%
Caylin Schnoor 3.9% 3.5% 4.1% 5.0% 4.8% 4.5% 6.7% 6.2% 8.1% 9.1% 10.3% 13.4% 12.4% 8.1%
William Kulas 8.1% 8.2% 7.4% 9.8% 9.7% 10.1% 10.2% 9.0% 7.7% 7.6% 6.5% 3.5% 1.9% 0.5%
Olivia Lowthian 2.0% 2.2% 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 3.5% 3.8% 5.8% 5.9% 8.2% 10.4% 12.3% 19.4% 19.1%
Sidney Moyer 4.0% 3.9% 4.5% 6.2% 5.7% 7.1% 7.3% 7.6% 9.1% 10.4% 11.0% 10.1% 9.2% 4.0%
Kiana Beachy 4.0% 3.0% 4.5% 3.6% 4.6% 4.6% 5.3% 5.8% 8.3% 9.6% 10.5% 14.1% 14.2% 7.8%
Greta Shuster 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% 3.8% 5.5% 6.4% 9.2% 15.8% 45.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.