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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.39vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.72+5.85vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.25+3.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.22+2.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+3.25vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.26+3.76vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.11vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.06-1.39vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.89+1.97vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.27-0.56vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.12-4.37vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.57-0.11vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.89-5.61vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.71-5.96vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.51-0.45vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.90-2.11vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.72-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.85George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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6.02SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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9.76Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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5.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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6.61Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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10.97Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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9.44Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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11.89University of Virginia1.570.0%1st Place
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7.39Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.04Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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14.55Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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13.89SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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14.23Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Liam McCarthy | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Gerard Eastman | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victor Layne | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 6.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicole Edwards | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 21.0% | 36.9% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 21.8% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 23.2% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.