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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.67+2.19vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.06+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.31+1.81vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.68+1.49vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.28-2.59vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.48-0.91vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.27-0.60vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.99-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Marquette University0.670.2%1st Place
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2.73Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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4.81University of Chicago-0.310.1%1st Place
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5.49Grand Valley State University-0.680.0%1st Place
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2.41University of Michigan1.280.3%1st Place
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5.09University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.4Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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5.89Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Sessions | 17.9% | 20.2% | 22.5% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Elliot Lee | 25.4% | 25.3% | 21.4% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 13.8% | 8.2% |
| Joseph Kurta | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 20.7% | 16.8% |
| Connor Goulet | 34.4% | 25.5% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Lowry | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 12.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 21.5% | 39.4% |
| Caroline Ritter | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 23.4% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.