← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Marquette University0.67+2.22vs Predicted
-
2University of Toledo-0.48+3.13vs Predicted
-
3Hope College-0.99+2.91vs Predicted
-
4Grand Valley State University-0.68+1.46vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-1.27+1.34vs Predicted
-
6Grand Valley State University1.06-3.30vs Predicted
-
7University of Chicago-0.31-2.14vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan1.28-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.22Marquette University0.670.2%1st Place
-
5.13University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
-
5.91Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
-
5.46Grand Valley State University-0.680.0%1st Place
-
6.34Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
-
2.7Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
-
4.86University of Chicago-0.310.1%1st Place
-
2.38University of Michigan1.280.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Sessions | 17.4% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 18.6% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| John Lowry | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 10.4% |
| Caroline Ritter | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 23.0% | 25.7% |
| Joseph Kurta | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 19.8% | 16.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 37.2% |
| Elliot Lee | 24.0% | 27.1% | 22.7% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 8.6% |
| Connor Goulet | 34.7% | 26.2% | 19.3% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.