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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.06+1.65vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.48+3.14vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.28-0.62vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.67-0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.31-0.15vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.68-0.55vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.27-0.59vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.99-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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5.14University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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2.38University of Michigan1.280.3%1st Place
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3.25Marquette University0.670.2%1st Place
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4.85University of Chicago-0.310.1%1st Place
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5.45Grand Valley State University-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.41Ohio State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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5.87Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 27.0% | 26.6% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| John Lowry | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 11.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 33.1% | 27.4% | 19.8% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 17.8% | 19.5% | 21.4% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 6.0% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 7.9% |
| Joseph Kurta | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 16.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 22.0% | 39.8% |
| Caroline Ritter | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 22.1% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.